China vs Bahrein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 2
NPL
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
6 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
4 - 0
MYS
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
2 - 1
HUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
DZA
0 - 1
CHN
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
BHR
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
THA
0 - 2
BHR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
BHR
5 - 0
KGZ
81%
14%
6%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
NPL
2 - 3
BHR
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 2
BHR
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |