China vs Germany U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
JPN
0 - 3
CHN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
MEX
3 - 2
CHN
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
CHN
0 - 2
AUS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
KWT
0 - 0
CHN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CHN
2 - 4
KOR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1988 |
DEU
3 - 0
ROU
2%
20%
78%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1988 |
POL
1 - 1
DEU
91%
7%
2%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1988 |
DEU
1 - 1
DEN
3%
24%
73%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
GRC
0 - 2
DEU
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1987 |
DEN
0 - 1
DEU
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |