Chinese Taipei vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
TWN
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
TWN
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 75 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
TWN
2 - 1
TLS
72%
18%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TLS
1 - 2
TWN
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
TWN
3 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GUM
0 - 2
PRK
8%
18%
74%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
3 - 2
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
OMA
1 - 0
GUM
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 77 | 46 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TWN
3 - 2
GUM
48%
22%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GUM
0 - 6
IRN
6%
17%
77%
|
32 | 87 | 55 | -1 |