Chinese Taipei vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
TWN
1 - 1
MMR
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
TWN
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AUS
8 - 0
TWN
85%
11%
3%
|
35 | 88 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
2 - 0
TWN
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 1
GUM
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
GUM
0 - 4
IND
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MMR
5 - 0
GUM
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
GUM
0 - 9
AUS
3%
14%
83%
|
19 | 88 | 69 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 1
GUM
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
5 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
3%
|
19 | 75 | 56 | 0 |