Chinese Taipei vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinese Taipei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TWN
1 - 1
PHL
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TWN
7 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TWN
0 - 0
PHL
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
1 - 2
PRK
6%
16%
79%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
4 - 2
GUM
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 4
HKG
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HKG
4 - 2
PHL
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
HKG
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
HKG
0 - 0
YEM
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
HKG
0 - 2
CHN
8%
18%
74%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |