China U21 vs Uzbekistan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
TJK
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 0
MYA
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
CHN
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CHN
0 - 1
SYR
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHN
0 - 0
THA
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
UZB
2 - 0
MYA
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
UZB
1 - 0
TJK
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
UZB
4 - 0
HKG
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
UKR
0 - 0
UZB
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 69 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
UZB
2 - 0
SRB
9%
17%
74%
|
26 | 69 | 43 | +2 |