China U21 vs Tajikistan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
CHN
2 - 7
THA
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
0 - 1
SWE
26%
23%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Tajikistan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
LVA
3 - 2
TJK
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
TJK
1 - 4
EST
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RUS
2 - 1
TJK
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
KAZ
2 - 0
TJK
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
0 - 2
TUK
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |