China U21 vs Mexico U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
ISL
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 0
THA
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
UZB
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
TJK
76%
15%
8%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 0
MYA
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
THA
0 - 6
MEX
13%
17%
71%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
MEX
2 - 0
ISL
54%
22%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
MEX
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
HAI
1 - 1
MEX
6%
14%
80%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 1
SLV
86%
11%
4%
|
59 | 11 | 48 | 0 |