China U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 0
THA
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
UZB
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 1
TJK
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CHN
1 - 0
MYA
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
CHN
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
MEX
2 - 0
ISL
54%
22%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 7
ESP
10%
18%
71%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
ISL
0 - 1
NIR
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 3
SVK
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
ISL
5 - 2
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |