China U20 vs USA U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHN
35%
29%
37%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHN
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
ENG
0 - 2
CHN
32%
29%
40%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
CHN
1 - 3
MEX
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
CHN
3 - 0
AUT
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
USA U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1996 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
USA
0 - 2
CAN
59%
20%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1996 |
USA
0 - 0
HND
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 2
USA
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1996 |
USA
4 - 1
JAM
69%
17%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |