China U23 vs Iran U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
49%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 3
MAR
39%
24%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
CHN
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 0
PAK
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
PRK
3 - 0
CHN
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Iran U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
KGZ
1 - 1
IRN
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 4
VIE
72%
17%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
IRN
3 - 2
KOR
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
IRN
3 - 2
TUR
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
IRN
0 - 2
IRQ
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |