Chile U20 vs Brazil U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 3
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 0
CHI
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
URU
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
7 - 0
URU
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
ECU
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |