Chievo vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ATL
3 - 0
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 1
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
JUV
19%
26%
56%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
REG
1 - 0
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 0
AUS
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
REG
1 - 3
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 3
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
SEV
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |