Chievo vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
FIO
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SIE
4 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
BOL
53%
27%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
INT
1 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 2
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 2
EMP
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MOD
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 5
SAS
41%
29%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |