Chievo vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAG
4 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
NAP
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 3
CHI
35%
29%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
GEN
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 1
TOT
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACM
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 2
ACM
21%
26%
53%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |