Chievo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 0
CHI
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
CHI
0 - 0
BOL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
BRE
0 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 0
VNZ
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 0
ANC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
USF
0 - 0
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
VER
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASL
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
AVE
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |