Chievo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
PIA
0 - 0
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
PES
1 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 0
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
ANC
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
COM
2 - 1
ASL
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 1
VER
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
ACI
3 - 0
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 3
UDI
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |