Chievo vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
COS
1 - 1
CHI
45%
28%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 1
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
USC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 3
CAG
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
PAL
3 - 0
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
CAS
2 - 0
USC
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
USF
2 - 0
CAS
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 0
COS
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
CES
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |