Chievo vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
CHI
3 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
31%
29%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAG
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
0 - 0
INT
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
CAG
2 - 0
VIC
52%
27%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |