Chievo vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
JUV
19%
26%
56%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
REG
1 - 0
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
LEC
3 - 0
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 3
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 3
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |