Chievo vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ACM
1 - 0
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
REG
1 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 0
FIO
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 1
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |