Chievo vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
REG
1 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
FIO
1 - 0
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LAZ
0 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2007 |
CAT
3 - 3
ASC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 3
REG
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 5
ACM
15%
25%
61%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |