Chievo vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAG
1 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 0
CHI
42%
28%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 1
GEN
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 0
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAG
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |