Chieti vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASD
50%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
4 - 1
RAA
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 3
TER
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FON
0 - 3
VIG
22%
27%
51%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIG
1 - 1
CAM
45%
27%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
VIG
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
FOL
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |