Chieti vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASM
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
TER
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 2
USP
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
CAM
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
USP
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |