Chieti vs Termoli Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
5º
22
5º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
TER
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
ISE
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 3
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAS
70%
20%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Termoli Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
TER
4 - 0
ANC
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
2 - 1
TER
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 0
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
RCF
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |