Chieti vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
USF
1 - 1
CHI
79%
16%
6%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 1
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
SOR
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
TER
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 1
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
TAR
0 - 0
SAS
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
TAR
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |