Chieti vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
ACI
1 - 0
CHI
54%
27%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 1
GRO
23%
29%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PRG
3 - 0
CHI
81%
15%
5%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
PIS
29%
31%
39%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
CHI
65%
22%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
VIR
2 - 4
ACS
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASL
45%
29%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 3
VIR
44%
29%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 2
FRO
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
NAP
3 - 0
VIR
63%
23%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |