Chieti vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
FER
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
3 - 1
SAS
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VIS
0 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 0
TAR
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 1
VIR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 3
VIR
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 0
AVE
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
TER
4 - 1
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
VIR
0 - 0
SAS
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |