Chieti vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
LAQ
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LAQ
2 - 0
CHI
37%
29%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOL
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 6
USC
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRA
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |