Chieti vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
VIG
33%
27%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 1
CHI
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
2 - 1
CHI
30%
27%
44%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
FCC
33%
28%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
EBO
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 1
PAG
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PAG
3 - 4
GAV
55%
24%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |