Chieti vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TUT
2 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
SOR
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
TER
34%
27%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 1
CHI
39%
28%
34%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
NUO
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NUO
2 - 1
RAA
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASM
0 - 1
NUO
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |