Chieti vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
CHI
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 3
MAT
14%
22%
64%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OLY
5 - 0
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 5
SEL
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PIN
1 - 0
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
SFF
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
GIU
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
REC
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 2
MON
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |