Chieti vs Martina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
TER
2 - 0
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
VIR
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
3 - 2
LAQ
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Martina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 3
PAT
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
TER
0 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
LAQ
2 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIR
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TAR
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |