Chieti vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 2
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
CHI
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAM
73%
19%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
CAM
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
GAV
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RAA
1 - 3
GAV
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 2
ARZ
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |