Chieti vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 3
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
JES
2 - 0
CHI
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
SSS
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 2
FVE
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FER
4 - 1
JES
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AMI
3 - 4
FER
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
REC
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 1
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |