Chieti vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LAQ
1 - 2
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAT
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
VIT
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 0
TER
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 1
CRO
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 2
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAT
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 1
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |