Chieti vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
SOR
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
TER
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 0
CHI
58%
25%
17%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 0
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
CRO
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
3 - 1
VIR
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |