Chieti vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
LAQ
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 3
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 2
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
CHI
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
FCC
18%
25%
57%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
USF
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
RAA
63%
23%
14%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
4 - 1
FAN
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
FCC
36%
27%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |