Chieti vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
29%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
SSS
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
CHI
35%
30%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 1
CHI
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
5 - 0
ACI
29%
28%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCC
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACI
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
TAR
0 - 1
FCC
33%
32%
36%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
SSS
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |