Chieti vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 2
CHI
70%
20%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
ACI
55%
25%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
ASM
53%
26%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
FON
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 2
FAN
59%
24%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 0
FAN
65%
21%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAN
3 - 2
FCC
61%
22%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |