Chieti vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
14º
14º
0
17º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 70 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 61 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 60 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 57 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 57 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 55 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 48 |
8º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 48 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 45 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 36 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 35 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 21 |
18º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
BFM
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 3
CHI
52%
27%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 0
CHI
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAM
16%
23%
61%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RMS
3 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ISE
1 - 0
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 3
VSU
21%
23%
55%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SFF
0 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
NER
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |