Chieti vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
FAN
17%
24%
59%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
SFF
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
CHI
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 1
CAS
50%
27%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 2
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |