Chieti vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 4
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
AVE
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
CHI
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
OLY
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVE
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REC
1 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
28%
24%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |