Chieti vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2002 |
TAR
0 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CHI
3 - 0
ASC
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PES
1 - 1
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 1
GIU
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
BEN
3 - 0
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 2
TAR
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAS
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 3
ASC
29%
28%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 1
CAS
38%
31%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |