Chieti vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
SAN
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
LAQ
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LAQ
2 - 0
CHI
37%
29%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 2
CAS
24%
25%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
PIE
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 1
CAS
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
FLA
70%
18%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 1
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |