Chieti vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
AVE
28%
30%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SSS
1 - 1
CHI
51%
29%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 0
VIS
52%
28%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 0
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
CHI
56%
26%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 2
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
NAP
2 - 1
PAD
53%
27%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 2
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |