Chieti vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
9º
5º
27
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 2
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
RCF
1 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAQ
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
REC
3 - 3
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ANC
1 - 0
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
ISE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BFM
1 - 3
AVE
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 1
FER
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |