Chieti vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
PON
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ARZ
3 - 0
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 2
USP
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 0
ASM
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIG
38%
28%
34%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
ASM
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
ASM
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |