Chieti vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
ACI
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
ASM
53%
26%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARZ
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
APR
1 - 0
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 2
APR
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 1
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
APR
0 - 1
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |